Wednesday, November 09, 2016

The sun still rose today, maybe tomorrow too

In a strange twist of Fate, they have declared, unexpected, that Hillary Clinton should NOT be held responsible for the global economic crisis of 2017.

Instead we shall have Donald Trump as the leader of the Free world, and pussy grabbing shall now be the law of the land, for those brave enough to do the grabbing.

And in the best of all worlds, after the Democrats declined to support Democratic Socialist Bernie Sanders, and I boldly accepted my mission, I voted for Hillary, against Donald Trump, and although Wisconsin and Michigan and Ohio and Pennsylvania and Iowa fell to Trump's spell, Minnesota, the land of Lake Woebegon, where all the men are good looking, and all the women are strong, and all the children are above average, BARELY held for the Democrat.

And the vote was a squeaker still, 1,363,741 (46.8%) for Clinton and 1,320,998 (45.4%) for Trump. So from Romney 2012, Obama won 1,546,167 (52.65%) to Romney's 1,320,225 (44.96), almost identical for the GOP, but Hillary lost nearly 200k voters. While 2008 had Obama at 1,573,354 (54.06%) to McCain at 1,275,409 (43.82%), just slightly more for Obama, while McCains was only slightly lower.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election_in_Minnesota,_2016

*** 12/15/16 Update - how much did the final vote change? Clinton [+3975] 1,367,716 (46.4%), Trump [+1953] 1,322,951 (44.9%), other [~ +33700] 254,146 (8.6%). Pretty close, except many more "Other" votes, preassume came from write-ins.

So Minnesota remains the only pure-Democratic state since 1976, yet at the state level, the republicans HELD the house, and won back the Senate, so even if the state Republicans are "more sensible than average", its tough times to be a democrat, even in Minnesota.

And the National republicans also held onto the U.S. Senate, with likely 51 seats, plus a VP now, while expanding their lead in the U.S. House. So if we imagined the Republicans were a united party (and they're not), but if they were, they basically have the run of Washington, and could pass anything on their own united votes (if such a thing existed), and the only thing in the way is a Senate Filibuster, but since the Democrats have expressed a willingness to overpower it under a President Clinton, it will be an easy dare for Republicans to overpower it in any appointment or decision they deem as necessary to their party interests.

And apparently Republic state governors also had a great collective election. They started with 31 republican and 18 democratic governors, and if they've gained 3, perhaps its now 34 to 15 breakdown?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_current_United_States_governors
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/nationworld/politics/ct-election-results-governors-20161108-story.html

So while the rise of Trump has promoted discussion of the end of the Republican party, merely because they looked doomed to lose the presidency again, now Trump has reversed that only stain on GOP power, merely by saying nearly the opposite of every conservative mantra, save cutting taxes for the wealthy. Of course Trump is united there, and Bill and Hillary Clinton will surely say thank you for it, saving them a million dollars in taxes a year.

The interesting question to consider is how will the republicans act in terms of balancing the budget? Will they follow the traditional republican plan of trying to reduce the government to be small enough to be drown in a bathtub? And more interestingly, since most government spending is mandatory, the main place they can cut back spending is social programs, and social programs generally benefit the southern states with more poor people, and Trump is now the man of the working class whites, who don't want hand outs, but hand ups, so they'll be glad to have their government benefits cut, if they can get a new shitty job with no benefits in its place. And when the 12 to 30 million illegals from central and south American are deported, we'll be openning up many low income jobs for the working class whites to take over.

And the republicans have always hated the minimum wage, so why not end it completely. Why tell an employer how much people are worth when they're done exported jobs to China? There's surely plenty of service jobs to be had, part time and no benefits. And as long as housing is cheap, as long as all that illegal immigrant housing has been cleared, property and rent prices should go way down, and the working class can have choice properties at low prices.

Of course the working class still properly don't have the credit scores to buy property, so some enterprising billionaires surely would love to buy up all the cheap properties and add a new coat of paint, and open up the rent back to the people, so they can pay 60% of their income on rent, but maybe less if we can pack more people together like the illegals used to do, so it'll be a win-win for all.

Its hard to guess, but you have to be sure all the calls for reducing federal deficits are simply talking points while tax-and-spend Democrats are in charge, while when Republicans are in charge, its borrow-and-spend like there's no tomorrow, don't you think? Donald Trump wants to cut taxes for the wealthy, and reduce income tax revenue by $500 billion year year. Where is he going to cut spending to pay for that? Social programs of course, right, that's where I started.

But are we going to cut spending for the Military? No no no, spending more than all other countries combined is not enough for the police man of the world. And if GWB can start two unfunded wars, surely Donald Trump can beat that in 4 years and start 3 unfunded wars? Afterall, why have a military if you're not going to use it.

And with the expanding poverty, surely we can expand the ROTC programs and get more working poor to get their sons and daughters to join the military, for the possibility of a college education, when they come home from their 3rd or 4th deployment?

And corporations will have their taxes reduced from a crazy 35% to perhaps 15%, and that'll allow corporations to hold onto more of their profits, without redistributing to shareholders, and they can use these profits to buy up more assets, you know, like housing for all the workers. Maybe we'll go back to the Henry Ford days and have company towns, and company schools and everything, and everyone will get paid just enough to pay all their income back to the company!

Well, you can't really tell what will happen, and its not like we know anything. And when the great economic Crisis of 2017 happens, it won't be like what we expect, but it'll be something that demands more centralized authority to get everything done that needs doing, and all the "smaller government" ideas will go out the window.

I admit, I wasn't looking forward to a Clinton presidency, since we're already on year 8 of an Obama fake-economy but how much more can the federal reserve do anyway, with 8 years of near zero interest rates. So surely more free money will be the order of the day for President Trump, just as it was for Bush, just as it would have been for Clinton. Does anything change?

And if you believe the conspiracy people, perhaps there will NOT be a new bailout, and the government WILL just let large portions of the economy go under, and claim "We can't afford to bail everyone out" and then let the billionaires who have been sitting on cash for 8 years come to the rescue and buy up $50 trillion dollars worth of infrastructure for a cool bargain of $10 trillion.

Oh, and the republicans love privatization, so who not just sell off all the government utilities, and deregulate all the rest to set their own rates, as they see fit. Eventually there'll be competition, once the existing utilities raise rates up by 1000%. Surely it'll be a boon for small businesses who want to compete with the big boys.

Cynicism is too easy, but anyway, my bet is Trump will have PLENTY of crises to defend trillion dollar deficits in no time, and it'll be a matter of life or death, so we'll just have to accept it. And some of us will have $1000 extra money from reduced income taxes to pay for any extra $10,000 in the cost of living. And that new inflation will justify keeping borrowing rates for billionaires low forever.

And who knows, what's next. Certainly Donald Trump doesn't know. I heard a phrase that Trump's supporters took him seriously and the media took his words literally, and perhaps that can explain how an empty windbag can get 60 million people voting for him. And so perhaps he does have the magic ear, to say what the forgotten people want him to say, and perhaps he'll find actions, besides the stand "cut taxes, borrow and spend" GOP plan, and perhaps even God himself will intervene. Heck GWB claimed God spoke to him, so why not Donald?

Donald said to the Pharaoh "Let my people go", and the Establishment Pharaoh tried to say no, and the people had other ideas. So perhaps what's next are the ten plagues of Egypt? And then we'll be living in the desert for 40 years eating the Manna from God, until we've ended our gold-idols and such. Anyway, we're back to the old testament days, so its all credible to the credulous. As Joseph sang "Any dream will do..."